For #Lebanon, the agreement tilts the balance toward #Iran, reinforcing the role of Tehran-backed #Hezbollah & folding the country into a broader #US – Iran framework while sidelining Beirut – #Israel talks.
It binds Lebanon into the 60-day ceasefire, committing all sides to halt operations across all fronts.
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun warned last week that Iran cannot negotiate on Lebanon's behalf on issues such as the ceasefire & Israeli withdrawal from southern territory.
Alarm is sharpest in #GulfStates, where #Iran attacks have shaken confidence in long-standing #security arrangements. Gulf #allies have emerged as the war's main losers—spectators to decisions that reshaped their security landscape & now left to absorb the fallout.
Gulf sources say the deal is already reshaping strategic thinking∶ eroding confidence in #US protection, entrenching Iran as an enduring regional force & accelerating a shift toward accommodation rather than confrontation.